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To us, that speaks to the importance of viewing your partnerships as long-term decisions.

With the above being said, let’s move on to the potential future prospects of the business.

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What would you do if we told you that a financial crisis was coming?

Here we see that Wells Fargo had total returns of “only” 10.4% against the S%P 500’s result of 16% per annum.

Granted this represents a decently sized gap, but keep in mind it’s the only example in the past 18 rolling periods.

So this, missing out on 10% annualized returns, is the benefit of being “right” about the temporary share price collapse of Wells Fargo.

True, Wells Fargo’s share price and earnings dropped by more than 70% in a year.

Yet the patient investor still would have seen their dividend grow by over 8% per annum in total.

Yet we would like to express caution on this front.

What seems like a disaster could simply be a folly of short-term judgment.

If, for instance, the same earnings estimates materialize but Wells Fargo shares are trading at the same P/E as today, this would only indicate an annual expected return of roughly 8%. You might believe that another financial crisis is round the bend or perchance the share price could drop 30%, 40% or even 70% next week, next year or next decade – at the very least in your lifetime.

However, it does provide a solid baseline for how analysts are presently viewing the company. There are always going to be reasons and times when it was better or worse to own a security.

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